Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2.183254 2.496498 2.829798 3.209860 3.630231 4.079951 4.596421
2025-01-05 1.685376 2.132665 2.646930 3.277200 4.023813 4.874920 5.913100
2025-01-12 1.293520 1.798270 2.421019 3.234337 4.255947 5.483587 7.055914
2025-01-19 1.056971 1.598785 2.310122 3.291084 4.584962 6.207935 8.368966
2025-01-26 0.876776 1.434525 2.209624 3.331674 4.876039 6.885540 9.650011
2025-02-02 0.742091 1.306536 2.133043 3.382852 5.168803 7.567558 10.960658
2025-02-09 0.620265 1.174121 2.027453 3.372576 5.363345 8.116450 12.110538
2025-02-16 0.512536 1.043529 1.903906 3.315907 5.476690 8.548016 13.109572
2025-02-23 0.442486 0.963044 1.845722 3.346894 5.711952 9.153783 14.368585
2025-03-02 0.371515 0.867390 1.748784 3.303187 5.824621 9.580690 15.384039
2025-03-09 0.325557 0.810036 1.708203 3.343478 6.063935 10.198244 16.692861
2025-03-16 0.279830 0.744254 1.643498 3.334586 6.220004 10.692738 17.834591
2025-03-23 0.255783 0.721380 1.657543 3.467403 6.622118 11.593916 19.640823
2025-03-30 0.230498 0.691261 1.654545 3.570042 6.981493 12.447528 21.413936
2025-04-06 0.194971 0.629634 1.581390 3.537250 7.108096 12.938628 22.649726
2025-04-13 0.173349 0.597225 1.563069 3.603960 7.408221 13.717931 24.359729
2025-04-20 0.152870 0.562972 1.535978 3.650106 7.672652 14.447711 26.014886
2025-04-27 0.135731 0.533675 1.515503 3.706267 7.956204 15.217958 27.757912
2025-05-04 0.116612 0.493564 1.464779 3.695655 8.114913 15.783206 29.186521
2025-05-11 0.097488 0.447702 1.393581 3.634815 8.173996 16.178741 30.347929
2025-05-18 0.085760 0.422373 1.368336 3.668272 8.411744 16.887549 32.044655
2025-05-25 0.072096 0.385785 1.309058 3.621228 8.489372 17.317951 33.287836
2025-06-01 0.063881 0.366443 1.291552 3.664643 8.744619 18.067072 35.084366